In particular, Obama is winning the electoral vote handily while losing both Ohio AND Florida. (Ohio is currently neutral, but Obama wins even if it turns red.)
In 2004 I looked over the early electoral maps and concluded that Kerry could win if and only if he could carry either Ohio OR Florida. Kerry lost both, and sure enough, he lost the race. Either state flipping would have won it.
It's too early to say that things won't change, but right now, unless McCain has another ace up his sleeve, he looks pretty screwed to me.
"It's too early to say that things won't change, but right now, unless McCain has another ace up his sleeve, he looks pretty screwed to me."
ReplyDeleteI find it ironic that you published this on the day he did just that.
What, huh? He did what? Pulled an ace out of his sleeve? What was that?
ReplyDeleteWas it that he announced his intention to run away from the debate? Ah, good to know what kind of bold decisiveness we'll be getting.
by the way, that electoral college map has gotten a lot tastier over the last week...
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